UK - Food prices could rise as the UK braces for its “worst harvest on record”, farming bosses have warned. Extreme heat during spring and summer could have cut the country’s cereals and oilseed harvest by 2.5 million tonnes compared to earlier forecasts, an analysis by the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) said. Wheat, barley and oat yields are all expected to be lower than usual. It warned that the shortfall could be costing UK farmers as much as £390 million and that 2026 could be the “worst harvest on record”.

UK - A £3 million reservoir has run out of water less than a year after being built. The reservoir, on the Elveden Estate in Suffolk, was built with the help of a £500,000 government grant in October to protect vegetable and cereal crops during dry periods. The reservoir is filled with water from the River Lark during the winter months. Andrew Blenkiron, the managing director of the Elveden Estate, said it was “going to be tight” to support 10,000 acres of farmland on the estate. “This is the third year out of five we’ve experienced these conditions and the big danger is that, if we have a dry winter, we’ve got some really serious problems next year.”

USA - The moment has arrived. The evidence is in. The jury has concluded its deliberations and the verdict is clear. Donald Trump’s war against the Islamic Republic of Iran can now be declared a strategic defeat for the most powerful nation on Earth. It is with great reluctance and significant anguish that I reach this conclusion. The final nail in the coffin of America’s hopes came on Sunday, when Trump called off “the biggest attack since World War Two” (yeah, right!) amid talks that could hand Tehran at least partial control of the Strait of Hormuz. He also expressed his hopes that the latest “deal” – how many deals have there supposedly been now? – would lead to “an end to Iran’s nuclear threat”.

ISRAEL - When New York chose to honour the promise of the United Nations, located on the city’s East Side, it inscribed these words on a large wall opposite its headquarters: “They shall beat their swords into ploughshares, and their spears into pruning hooks. Nation shall not lift up sword against nation, neither shall they learn war any more.” That vision of peace did not originate with Madison Avenue wordsmiths, Joan Baez, or John Lennon. It came from the Jewish prophet Isaiah some 2,700 years ago, and captured the essence of the Jewish journey over millennia: the quest for peace. Not conquest. Not subjugation. Not proselytisation. Peace. But, as the Jews learnt throughout the centuries, praying for peace is one thing. Achieving it is quite another.

USA - The Super El Niño is getting even stronger, the latest climate models have revealed. According to the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), El Niño is expected to steadily strengthen into a 'strong' event between August and October. This powerful climate pattern is expected to bring above–average temperatures all around the planet and cause huge changes in rainfall patterns. While many countries are already facing one of the hottest and driest summers on record, experts warn 'this is only the warm–up act'. The WMO now predicts that sea surface temperatures in key regions will exceed 2.9°C (5.2°F) above the seasonal average. El Niño events typically reach their peak between November and February, and have their strongest influence on global weather during the start of the following year. This means we are only just starting to experience the effects of what experts are calling the strongest El Niño event in recorded history.

EUROPE - A punishing combination of prolonged drought and record-breaking heat has driven the Danube River to historic lows, exposing sunken Nazi warships from World War II, a 1937 Hungarian cargo wreck, and even suspected mammoth remains—while crippling river transport and forcing nuclear power plants to scale back operations across central and eastern Europe. The squeeze on the region's power grids has no precedent. For the first time in either country's history, Hungary and Romania have been forced to shut down atomic reactors that depend on the Danube for cooling water, turning what began as an eerie archaeological curiosity into an energy emergency. Near the Serbian village of Prahovo, images circulating on social media captured the hulking German warships half-buried in sand and shallow water.

GUATEMALA - The Fuego (Fire) volcano in Guatemala, apart having one of the least poetic volcanic names in the whole Pacific ‘Ring of Fire’, is historically a deadly one. Yesterday’s eruption has triggered the evacuation of at least two villages on its slopes. “Fuego, one of the most active volcanoes in the Western Hemisphere, started spewing lava and ash on Monday. Pyroclastic currents – rivers of gas, volcanic ash and rock fragments – continued to flow down Fuego’s south-eastern slope early on Tuesday," the government agency which monitors its activity said. Disaster management agency Conred issued a nationwide orange alert, the second highest, and warned locals to be prepared as the eruptions could create further pyroclastic flows and billowing ash clouds.

MARTINIQUE - One of history’s deadliest volcanoes is showing renewed signs of unrest decades after its last eruption. Mount Pelée sits on the Caribbean island of Martinique, roughly 1,500 miles southeast of Florida and along heavily traveled air routes connecting the region with the US. The volcano's most notorious eruption struck in 1902, when a superheated cloud tore through Saint-Pierre and killed approximately 30,000 people within minutes.

IRAN - Iran has denied Donald Trump's claims that there are ongoing peace talks between Tehran and Washington. Foreign ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baqaei said that there are no ongoing negotiations with the US, but that talks were taking place with Oman on management of the strategic Strait of Hormuz. He said: 'We are not currently negotiating with the United States. Our negotiations are with Oman to secure passage through the Strait of Hormuz.' Last night, Trump claimed to have called off the 'biggest attack since WWII' planned for Iran over the weekend after allies in the region convinced him a nuclear deal was close.

USA - The same pattern keeps repeating over and over again. US military assets are moved into the Middle East and President Trump threatens to attack Iran harder than ever before. At the end of last week, I told my core supporters that everything was ready for a very large wave of airstrikes. But then as we have seen so many times before, Trump decided not to pull the trigger at the last moment and he claimed that Iran had asked to make a deal. And as we have seen so many times before, the Iranians denied asking for any sort of a deal and insisted that they have not agreed to make any of the concessions that Trump is seeking. Since Iran is not willing to give Trump what he wants, it is just a matter of time before this pause in the fighting collapses just like all of the others have. How many times are we going to play this game? And how many times are people going to keep falling for it?

INDIA - The death toll in rain-related incidents rose to 11 by Sunday, and nearly 7,700 people were evacuated to around 275 relief camps across Kerala, a state government minister said. Heavy rains and floods battered parts of southern India over the weekend, killing at least 11 and displacing thousands in the state of Kerala, and setting off a landslide that killed at least three in neighboring Karnataka, authorities and news reports said.

CUBA - The outage follows three nationwide blackouts in July and comes as a US-imposed oil blockade further strains the island's aging energy infrastructure. Cuba's electricity grid collapsed late on Sunday, the state-owned grid operator said, plunging the ‌island of about 10 million people into darkness as blackouts become more frequent. Venezuela had long been Cuba's primary oil supplier, with imports from Mexico also halted amid increased US pressure.

KOREA - A record heatwave is gripping the Korean peninsula, sending temperatures soaring across South Korea and North Korea as authorities expand emergency measures and residents seek relief in cooling shelters, beaches and water parks. Forecasters said on Monday that extreme heat, previously concentrated in South Korea's south-east, was spreading into the Seoul metropolitan area and other western regions. North Korean state media also reported temperatures approaching 40 degrees Celsius (104 degrees Fahrenheit) in parts of the country and a fifth straight tropical night in Pyongyang. South Korea's weather agency warned temperatures could rise further in western regions this week.

EUROPE - Europe has been rocked by the Spanish autonomous city of Ceuta on the North African coast being stormed by an estimated 60,000 Moroccan immigrants. That sums up the problem. The EU is a powerful bloc, yet it finds itself at the mercy of Morocco because human rights laws undermine border controls. Without those controls, freedom of movement under Schengen becomes a liability rather than a benefit. Yet instead of leading, the EU merely convenes meetings. The EU’s complacency has seen its share of the global economy shrink and the continent miss out on the frontier of AI. If it fails to secure Europe’s borders, then the whole project may well collapse, as frustrated voters demand the security that European leaders refuse to deliver. Ceuta was a test of the EU’s ability to respond and it failed.

EUROPE - The European Union has told Pedro Sánchez that he must accept Spain being placed under special measures to end diplomatic hostilities within the bloc, triggered by the Ceuta migrant crisis. Sources told The Telegraph that the Spanish prime minister has been asked to share verified figures for the number of migrants returned to Morocco after the initial influx. The demand demonstrates doubt over Madrid’s claim that most of the estimated 60,000 people who rushed into the exclave last week had already crossed back over the border. At least 88 people died, with many drowning or being crushed to death, in what was described as the single largest illegal influx into the EU. On Monday, Miguel Ángel Pérez, the Spanish central government’s delegate in Ceuta, said 2,500 of them were estimated to still be in Ceuta. However, Juan Jesús Vivas, the territory’s top official, put the figure at between 3,000 and 5,000, telling Spanish broadcaster Telecinco that its two migrant reception centres – one for adults and another for minors – had “collapsed”.